Russian influence in Africa China Competition Facing the West
2022-04-18374 view
Extrapolating Russia's presence on the African continent and reading the challenges facing Moscow in the context of political and security events at the international level and in sub-Saharan Africa, it is concluded that Russia is likely to continue its current policy on the continent due to the lack of political and economic factors against its existence.
But it seems that the Russian presence could be a double-edged sword, depending on how African leaders exploit it. It could be a substitute for the investments of traditional allies and a catalyst for practical solutions to existing security challenges, and, conversely, it could cause reprisals in States where Moscow lures politicians without checks and balances, which could lead to conflicts, entrench corruption of rulers and exploit public funds without subjecting leaders to legal accountability.
One of the outcomes of the study is that Russia's renewed interest in the African continent may return the conflicts of international geopolitical forces to it, as traditional allies of Africa may try to hinder Russia's efforts while Moscow reciprocates. Russia's presence forces the EU and traditional allies to recalculate and reveal new strategies toward the continent, providing an opportunity for African countries to benefit from rivalry. Finally, Russia's success in Africa depends on its success in dealing with France, the United States of America, China, and other traditional allies.
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