"RUSSIAN-UKRAINIAN" CRISIS SCENARIOS AND THEIR AFTERMATH

The current Russian-Ukrainian crisis (2021-2022) worsened in March 2021, when Russia began mobilizing troops and military equipment near the border with Ukraine, causing an international crisis and raising concerns about a possible invasion. Satellite images showed the movement of armored vehicles, rockets and other heavy weapons. By December 2021, more than 100,000 troops were stationed near the Ukrainian border.

The current crisis is linked to the long Russian-Ukrainian war, which began in 2014 and escalated in early 2021, and in December 2021, the Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs announced several demands, including Ukraine's non-adherence to NATO and a reduction in the number of NATO troops and military equipment in Eastern Europe in exchange for the withdrawal of Russian troops. The United States and other NATO members rejected the request and warned Russia to tighten economic sanctions in the event of an invasion of Ukraine. Bilateral security talks were held in January 2022.

Russian-Ukrainian relations intensified in late October and early November, following the first Ukrainian combat use of the Turkish "Berkdar" drone against separatist groups in Donetsk. The announcement of the use of the UAV appeared almost simultaneously with the news of the liberation of the village of Staromarevka on the borderline, which at that time was home to 37 citizens who had obtained Russian passports under the Russian Simplified Nationality Grant Program.

 

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